000 ABPZ20 KNHC 161137 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 AM PDT TUE JUN 16 2009 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS ACCOMPANIED BY DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN