000 ABPZ20 KNHC 232338 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM PDT SAT MAY 23 2009 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO REMAIN DISORGANIZED...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN