000
ABPZ20 KNHC 131147
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED AUG 13 2008

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS INCREASED
IN ORGANIZATION THIS MORNING.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AND THIS SYSTEM
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.  RAINS
ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD DIMINISH AS THE SYSTEM
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. 

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA MEXICO REMAINS DISORGANIZED.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE LOW MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD.  

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BROWN