000
ABPZ20 KNHC 131019
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM PDT FRI OCT 13 2006

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER EXTENDS ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF
MEXICO SOUTHWARD INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED
MILES.  GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD.  DUE TO THE CLOSE
PROXIMITY OF THE SYSTEM TO MAINLAND MEXICO...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS
ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST AND IN NEARBY MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. 

THE REMNANT LOW OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLIVIA IS LOCATED
ABOUT 690 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
WHILE THE LOW COULD STILL PRODUCE INTERMITTENT SHOWER ACTIVITY...
REGENERATION INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS NOT EXPECTED.

THE REMNANT LOW OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORMAN...LOCATED
ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF SOCORRO ISLAND...CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY
SOUTHEASTWARD.  THE LOW APPEARS TO BE MERGING WITH THE SYSTEM TO
THE EAST AND REDEVELOPMENT IS NOT LIKELY. 

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER REMAINS ABOUT 2050 MILES WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.  UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE...AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY
SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN