000 ABPZ20 KNHC 062215 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 400 PM PDT FRI OCT 6 2006 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS FORMED WITHIN THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1225 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY MINIMAL... UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 5 TO 10 MPH. A DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS FORMED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH