000
ACPN50 PHFO 192000
TWOCP 

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1000 AM HST MON AUG 19 2013

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE FIRST VISIBLE IMAGES OF THE DAY REVEALED THAT THE AREA OF 
LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1050 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI 
HAWAII HAS A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. GIVEN 
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN PERSISTENT WITH THIS FEATURE...THE CENTRAL 
PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL LIKELY BE ISSUING ADVISORIES ON 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C. THIS SYSTEM HAS A NEAR 100 PERCENT 
CHANCE OF DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

2. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH ABOUT 
750 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII HAVE BECOME LESS 
ORGANIZED OVERNIGHT. STRONG UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO 
PREVENT SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THIS AREA THROUGH TUESDAY... 
BUT WINDS ALOFT MAY WEAKEN BY WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW 
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE 
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY 
AFTERNOON.


$$

WROE