000
ACPN50 PHFO 191746
TWOCP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST MON AUG 19 2013

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 1000 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI 
HAWAII IS MOVING WEST NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THUNDERSTORMS 
CONTINUE TO PULSE NEAR AN APPARENT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER... 
BUT UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. 
HOWEVER...CONDITIONS MAY BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT ON 
TUESDAY...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF 
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

2. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH ABOUT 
750 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII HAVE BECOME LESS 
ORGANIZED OVERNIGHT. STRONG UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO 
PREVENT SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THIS AREA THROUGH TUESDAY... 
BUT WINDS ALOFT MAY WEAKEN BY WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW 
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE 
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY 
MORNING.


$$

BIRCHARD