000
ACPN50 PHFO 132320
TWOCP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST TUE AUG 13 2013

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. AN ELONGATED TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 775 MILES 
SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS...AND MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 15 MPH. ENVIRONMENTAL 
CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...AND 
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A 
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

2. AN ELONGATED TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ABOUT 1300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
HILO HAWAII. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS 
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS 
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL 
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 
15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY 
AFTERNOON.

$$

BIRCHARD