000
ACPN50 PHFO 131755
TWOCP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST TUE AUG 13 2013

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE 
BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS 
THIS SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF 
DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A 
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

2. DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION 
WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 1375 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO 
BE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT BEFORE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS 
BECOME MORE UNFAVORABLE ON THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM 
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 
48 HOURS WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY 
MORNING.

$$

BIRCHARD