000
ABNT20 KNHC 191740
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms have been
persisting near the center of an area of low pressure located
over the southwestern Caribbean Sea.  In addition, satellite data
suggest that the circulation of the low continues to become better
defined.  Although environmental conditions are only marginally
conducive for additional development, only a small increase in the
organization of the low could result in the formation of a tropical
depression. This low is expected to move slowly and erratically
during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi