000 ABNT20 KNHC 181720 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 100 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized cloudiness and showers over the southwestern Caribbean Sea are associated with a broad low pressure area. Upper-level winds are currently only marginaly conducive, and during the next couple of days any development should be slow to occur. After that time, environmental conditions are expected to be more conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the low moves slowly and erratically. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent $$ Forecaster Beven