000
ABNT20 KNHC 181151
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized cloudiness and showers over the southwestern Caribbean
Sea are associated with a broad low pressure area.  Upper-level
winds have become less conducive, and during the next couple of
days any development should be slow to occur.  After that time,
environmental conditions are expected to be more conducive for
gradual development, and a tropical depression could form early
next week while the low moves slowly and erratically.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven