000 ABNT20 KNHC 172331 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 700 PM EST THU NOV 17 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Cloudiness and showers over the southwestern Caribbean Sea are associated with a broad low pressure area. This system continues to show little change in organization. However, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for slow development during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form by late this weekend or early next week while the low moves slowly and erratically. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent $$ Forecaster Pasch