000
ABNT20 KNHC 162334
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST WED NOV 16 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Cloudiness and showers over the southwestern Caribbean Sea are
associated with a broad low pressure area.  This system has changed
little in organization since yesterday.  However, environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for slow development during
the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form
over the weekend while the low moves slowly and erratically.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Pasch