000
ABNT20 KNHC 161743
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST WED NOV 16 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Cloudiness and showers over the southwestern Caribbean Sea are
associated with a broad low pressure area.  The system is currently
disorganized, and recent satellite data indicate that the associated
winds are light.  However, environmental conditions are expected to
be conducive for slow development during the next several days, and
a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or over the
weekend while the low moves slowly and erratically.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven