000 ABNT20 KNHC 161144 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 700 AM EST WED NOV 16 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers over the southwestern Caribbean Sea is associated with a broad low pressure system. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for slow development of this disturbance during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or over the weekend while the low moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent $$ Forecaster Beven