000 ABNT20 KNHC 142341 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 700 PM EST MON NOV 14 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Cloudiness and thunderstorms have increased over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in association with a broad area of low pressure that is gradually forming across the region. Environmental conditions are conducive for slow development of this disturbance during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by late this week or over the weekend while the low drifts northward or northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent $$ Forecaster Kimberlain