000
ABNT20 KNHC 220500
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT OCT 22 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A non-tropical area of low pressure located about 400 miles east-
southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, is producing an area of
gale force winds to its southeast.  While the associated shower
and thunderstorm activity has increased a little during the past few
hours, satellite wind data indicate that the surface circulation
has become elongated and less well defined since yesterday.  Strong
upper-level winds are expected to limit the opportunity for this
system to become a subtropical or tropical cyclone, and the low is
expected to degenerate into a trough ahead of an approaching frontal
system later today while it moves north-northeastward at 25 to 30
mph.  For additional information on this system, see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Brennan