000
ABNT20 KNHC 211134
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of low pressure centered about 450 miles south-southeast of
Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, is moving northward. The thunderstorm
activity is very limited and the chances for this system to become a
subtropical or tropical cyclone are diminishing. This low is
expected to merge with a large frontal system tonight or early
Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

$$
Forecaster Avila