000
ABNT20 KNHC 201154
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An elongated area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles
northeast of the Central Bahamas is moving northwestward at about
10 mph.  This system has become slightly better organized since
yesterday, and it could still become a subtropical or tropical
cyclone before it merges with a cold front over the western Atlantic
Friday night.  A NOAA reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to
investigate the area this afternoon.  Regardless of development,
locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of Hispaniola
today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Pasch