000 ABNT20 KNHC 161747 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A surface trough interacting with an upper-level low continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and disorganized showers and thunderstorms over most of the Bahamas and adjacent waters of the western Atlantic and the Florida Straits. Environmental conditions are currently unfavorable for any significant development to occur, but they could become more conducive by Tuesday or Wednesday while the system drifts eastward. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall will be possible over the Bahamas during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent $$ Forecaster Stewart