000 ABNT20 KNHC 031121 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT MON OCT 3 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Matthew, located over the central Caribbean Sea to the south- southeast of Jamaica. A broad area of low pressure located about 400 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development of this low is possible during the next couple of days before upper-level winds become unfavorable for development. This system is expected to move west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent $$ Forecaster Pasch