000
ABNT20 KNHC 010534
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Matthew, located over the south-central Caribbean Sea.

A weak area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central
tropical Atlantic well east of the Lesser Antilles.  Although recent
satellite wind data indicate that the system is producing winds just
below tropical storm force, any additional development is expected
to be slow to occur due to strong upper-level winds while the low
moves northwestward at 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Berg