000 ABNT20 KNHC 131146 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT TUE SEP 13 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Ian, located well to the east-southeast of Bermuda. An area of low pressure located just west of Melbourne, Florida, is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms near the Florida east coast and the adjacent Atlantic waters. Significant development of this system is not likely since the low is expected to continue to move over land through Wednesday. Locally heavy rains will continue to spread over central and northern Florida today and tonight. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, located a couple of hundred miles east-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers. Slow development of this disturbance is possible during the next several days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds are likely over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Ian are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Ian are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. $$ Forecaster Pasch