000 ABNT20 KNHC 121728 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT MON SEP 12 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center has begun issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Storm Ian, located well to the southeast of Bermuda. Disorganized shower activity continues in association with a disturbance near the northwestern Bahamas. This system does not have a closed surface circulation, and conditions are not conducive for significant development while the disturbance moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. However, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the central and northwestern Bahamas today, and portions of the Florida peninsula on Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Ian are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Ian are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. $$ Forecaster Pasch