000 ABNT20 KNHC 090500 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT FRI SEP 9 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A large but disorganized area of disturbed weather located about 800 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is associated with a westward-moving tropical wave. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form while this system moves west-northwestward and northwestward into the central Atlantic by early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent An area of disorganized cloudiness and showers extending a couple hundred miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is associated with a weak disturbance. Surface pressures remain high in this area, and there are no signs of a surface circulation. During the next few days, this system is expected to move west- northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, and conditions are not expected to be conducive for significant development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent $$ Forecaster Brennan