000
ABNT20 KNHC 052321
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
Cyclone Hermine, located off of the New England coast of the United
States.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
a tropical wave located over eastern Caribbean.  This disturbance
could produce periods of locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds over
portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico and Hispaniola tonight
and on Tuesday.  Development of the wave is unlikely while it moves
westward across the Caribbean Sea for the next few days.
Upper-level winds could become a little more conducive for
development when the wave approaches the Yucatan peninsula late
this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

A low pressure area associated with a tropical wave is expected to
form several hundred miles southwest or west-southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands late this week.  Environmental conditions appear
conducive for slow development of this system after that time while
the system moves west-northwestward into the central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

$$
Forecaster Landsea