000
ABNT20 KNHC 051147
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
Cyclone Hermine, located off of the mid-Atlantic coast of the United
States.

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave
located over eastern Caribbean have decreased since yesterday.
Although strong winds, possibly to tropical storm force, could still
be occurring in association with this system, development of the
wave is unlikely while it moves westward across the Caribbean Sea
this week.  This disturbance could continue to produce periods of
locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds over portions of the Lesser
Antilles early today, and over Puerto Rico and Hispaniola later
today and on Tuesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

A low pressure area associated with a tropical wave is expected to
form several hundred miles southwest or west-southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands late this week.  Environmental conditions appear
conducive for slow development of this system after that time while
the system moves west-northwestward into the central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent


$$
Forecaster Kimberlain