000
ABNT20 KNHC 050532
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
Cyclone Hermine, located off of the mid-Atlantic coast of the United
States.

A broad area of low pressure associated with a vigorous tropical
wave is moving across the central and northern Lesser Antilles, and
continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Although satellite-derived wind data indicate that
tropical-storm-force winds are occurring in some of the stronger
squalls, significant development of this system appears unlikely
while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph across the Caribbean Sea
during the next several days.  This disturbance will continue to
produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds over portions of the
Lesser Antilles today, and should spread over Puerto Rico and
Hispaniola during the next day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

&&
Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS
header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web
at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Stewart