000
ABNT20 KNHC 221137
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON AUG 22 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fiona, located several hundred miles northeast of the
Leeward Islands.

Shower activity has increased a little over the past 24 hours in
association with a tropical wave located about 850 miles east of
the Lesser Antilles.  Dry air near this system is expected to slow
development during the next couple of days days while the
disturbance moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.
Environmental conditions could become more conducive for development
late this week when the system is expected to move near Hispaniola
and the southeastern and central Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

Satellite imagery this morning suggests that a tropical depression
is forming about 300 miles south-southwest of the southern Cabo
Verde Islands, and if current trends continue, advisories would be
initiated later today.  This system is expected to move westward to
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the eastern tropical
Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven