000
ABNT20 KNHC 220528
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON AUG 22 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fiona, located several hundred miles northeast of the Leeward
Islands.

A tropical wave located about 900 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
is producing disorganized shower activity. Dry air near this system
is expected to inhibit significant development during the next few
days while the disturbance moves westward to west-northwestward at
15 to 20 mph.  Environmental conditions could become more conducive
for development late this week when the system is expected to move
near Hispaniola and the southeastern and central Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

Thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization in
association with a tropical wave and a large area of low pressure
located almost 300 miles south of the southern Cabo Verde Islands.
Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a
tropical depression is likely to form later today while the system
moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the
eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart