000
ABNT20 KNHC 211739
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fiona, located several hundred miles northeast of the Leeward
Islands.

A tropical wave located about 1100 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms.  The
proximity of this system to dry air is expected to inhibit
significant development during the next few days while the
disturbance moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.
Environmental conditions could become more conducive for development
late this week when the system is expected to be near Hispaniola and
the southeastern Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

Cloudiness and thunderstorms located over the far eastern Atlantic
a few hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands are
associated with a low pressure area and tropical wave. Environmental
conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression
is likely to form during the next day or two while the system moves
westward and then northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown