000
ABNT20 KNHC 211155
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN AUG 21 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fiona, located about 750 miles east-northeast of the
Leeward Islands.

Disorganized showers a few thunderstorms associated with a tropical
wave are located about 1150 miles east of the Lesser Antilles.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for
development during the next few days, and any development should be
slow to occur.  This system is expected to move westward and then
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the tropical Atlantic
Ocean, through the eastern Caribbean Sea, and then near the Greater
Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

Cloudiness and thunderstorms located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean are associated with a low pressure area and tropical wave
that has moved off the west coast of Africa. Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a
tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days
while the system moves westward and then northwestward over the
eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown