000
ABNT20 KNHC 201732
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT AUG 20 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fiona, located over the central tropical Atlantic.

A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is
located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Lesser
Antilles.  The associated shower activity remains disorganized, and
any development during the next couple of days should be slow to
occur due to its large size and proximity to dry air.  Environmental
conditions are forecast to be more conducive for development beyond
a couple of days, and a tropical depression could form by the middle
of next week while the system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph across
the tropical Atlantic Ocean and into the eastern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

A tropical wave located near the coast of western Africa continues
to produce a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. This wave
is expected to move offshore tonight and environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development.  This system is likely
to become a tropical depression by mid-week while it moves generally
west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Latto