000
ABNT20 KNHC 290500
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave located located about 1200 miles east of the Lesser
Antilles is moving rapidly westward. Given the fast motion of the
system, development, if any, will be slow to occur. However, this
system will likely bring showers and gusty winds to portions of the
Leeward Islands during the weekend, and then, the activity should
spread westward across the Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

Shower activity associated with a tropical wave and a low pressure
system centered a couple of hundred miles south-southeast of the
Cabo Verde Islands has increased during the past several hours, but
the overall organization has changed little.  This system has some
potential for development during the next day or two, before the
disturbance encounters a less favorable environment over the central
tropical Atlantic next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

$$
Forecaster Avila