000 ABNT20 KNHC 181127 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SAT JUN 18 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave located near the Yucatan Peninsula is producing cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorm activity from the southern Gulf of Mexico across the Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, and the northwestern Caribbean Sea. A weak surface low pressure system could form over the southern Gulf of Mexico during the next day or so, but only gradual development is expected due to proximity to land and marginally conducive upper-level winds. This system is forecast to move west-northwestward at about 10 mph before it moves inland early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent $$ Forecaster Brennan