000
ABNT20 KNHC 180518
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT JUN 18 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave is producing disorganized thunderstorms and
cloudiness over the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico, Belize, northern
Guatemala, and adjacent waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea. A
weak surface low pressure system could form over the southern
Yucatan peninsula during the next day or so. At this time, only slow
development of this disturbance is expected due to proximity to land
and only marginally conducive upper-level winds. The system is
forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph
during the next few days, emerging over the Bay of Campeche and the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico by Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart