000 ABNT20 KNHC 161718 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave located over Honduras, Nicaragua, and the adjacent waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea is producing a broad area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorm activity. Although thunderstorm activity has increased somewhat over the northwestern Caribbean today, there is no evidence of a surface circulation in the area. Development, if any, of this disturbance should be slow to occur due to interaction with land while the system moves west-northwestward around 10 mph toward the Bay of Campeche over the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent $$ Forecaster Pasch