000
ABNT20 KNHC 040538
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT JUN 4 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Bonnie, located about 335 miles east of Cape Hatteras, North
Carolina.

Widespread cloudiness and thunderstorms over the western Caribbean
Sea remain disorganized.  A low pressure system is expected to form
in association with this disturbed weather over the Yucatan
Peninsula of Mexico or the adjacent waters by Sunday and drift
generally northward.  Despite strong upper-level winds, this low is
likely to develop into a tropical cyclone as it subsequently moves
northeastward across the south-central and eastern Gulf of Mexico
early next week. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and
flooding are possible over portions of the Yucatan Peninsula,
western Cuba and the Florida Peninsula during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain