000 ABNT20 KNHC 011742 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT WED JUN 1 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The NOAA Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical Cyclone Bonnie, located about 90 miles southeast of Wilmington, North Carolina. A broad low pressure area may form over the southern Gulf of Mexico by early next week. Additional development of the low should be slow to occur as the low moves slowly north-northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which will run until November 30. Long-term averages for the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 12, 6, and 3, respectively. The list of names for 2016 is as follows: Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation ------------------------------------------------------------- Alex AL-leks Lisa LEE-suh Bonnie BAH-nee Matthew MATH-yoo Colin KAH-lihn Nicole nih-KOHL Danielle dan-YELL Otto AHT-toh Earl URR-ull Paula PAHL-luh Fiona fee-OH-nuh Richard RIH-churd Gaston ga-STAWN Shary SHAHR-ee Hermine her-MEEN Tobias toh-BEE-uss Ian EE-an Virginie vir-JIN-ee Julia JOO-lee-uh Walter WALL-tur Karl KAR-ull Two tropical cyclones have already formed this year, Hurricane Alex in January and Tropical Storm Bonnie in May. The next named storm that forms this season will be named Colin. This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for tropical cyclone formation during the next five days. The issuance times of this product are 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT. After the change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 1 AM, 7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST. A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular Tropical Weather Outlooks. A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion, and a wind speed probability product, is issued every six hours for all ongoing tropical cyclones. In addition, a special advisory package may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected changes or to modify watches or warnings. The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of significant changes in a tropical cyclone or to post or cancel watches or warnings. It is used in lieu of or to precede the issuance of a special advisory package. It is also used to issue hourly position updates when coastal watches and warnings are in effect and the cyclone center can be easily tracked with land based radar. Tropical Cyclone Updates, which can be issued at any time, can be found under WMO header WTNT61-65 KNHC, and under AWIPS header MIATCUAT1-5. All National Hurricane Center text and graphical products are available on the web at http://www.hurricanes.gov. You can also interact with NHC on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC. Notifications are available via Twitter when select National Hurricane Center products are issued. Information about our Atlantic Twitter feed is available at http://www.hurricanes.gov/twitter.shtml. $$ Forecaster Beven