000
ABNT20 KNHC 091959
TWOAT 

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
300 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An extratropical low pressure system centered about 600 miles
east-northeast of Bermuda is producing a large area of gale-force
winds and maximum winds of 50 to 60 mph. While the low is forecast
to intensify during the next day or two, the combination of strong
upper-level winds, dry air, and cool sea-surface temperatures are
expected to remain unfavorable for subtropical or tropical cyclone
formation while the low moves eastward at 15 to 20 mph into the
central Atlantic Ocean. However, environmental conditions could
become more conducive for this system to acquire some subtropical
characteristics early next week while it moves east-southeastward
into the eastern subtropical Atlantic.  Regardless of subtropical or
tropical cyclone formation, this system is expected to produce
hazardous marine conditions over portions of the central Atlantic
for the next few days. For additional information, see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. The next Special
Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 3 PM EST
Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on
the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Beven