000
ABNT20 KNHC 201154
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Danny, located over the central tropical Atlantic about a
thousand miles miles east of the Lesser Antilles.

A surface trough interacting with an upper-level low is producing an
area of showers and thunderstorms to the southeast through southwest
of Bermuda.  A non-tropical low pressure system is expected to
form within this trough over the western Atlantic during the next
day or two, and environmental conditions should support some
subsequent tropical or subtropical development over the weekend
while this disturbance moves slowly northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

A tropical wave near the coast of west Africa is producing some
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.   Environmental conditions
are forecast to become marginally favorable for some development of
this system by the weekend while the wave moves westward at 15 to 20
mph over the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake