000
ABNT20 KNHC 071741
TWOAT 

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
145 PM EDT THU MAY 7 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that the nearly stationary area of low pressure located about 210
miles south-southeast of the South Carolina-North Carolina border
is now producing 40-45 mph winds mainly to the north and west of the
center.  Environmental conditions are favorable for some additional
development, and any increase in the organization of the associated
thunderstorm activity would result in the formation of a subtropical
cyclone. The low is expected to drift to the north or north-
northwest over the next couple of days, and interests along the
southeastern coast of the United States should continue to monitor
the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rain
is expected over portions of the coastal southeastern United States
for the next few days. For additional information, see products
from your local National Weather Service forecast office and High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. The next
Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system is scheduled for 8
PM EDT.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service are
available under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml

$$
Forecaster Blake