000 ABNT20 KNHC 292336 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A westward-moving area of low pressure, located just to the northeast of the Virgin Islands, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms mainly to the northeast and north of the Leeward Islands. Upper-level winds are forecast to become increasingly unfavorable for tropical cyclone development while the system turns toward the northwest and north over the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch