000 ABNT20 KNHC 291803 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014 Corrected second sentence For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: An area of low pressure has formed just north of the Leeward Islands and is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although upper-level winds are not particularly conducive, some development of this disturbance is possible during the next day or so while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. After that time, conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation while the system turns northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake/Brown