000 ABNT20 KNHC 281132 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms from the Lesser Antilles eastward over the Atlantic Ocean for several hundred miles. Since upper-level winds are expected to be marginally conducive, some gradual development of this disturbance is possible while it moves northwestward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next few days. By the weekend, however, conditions are expected to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. Regardless of development, this system will produce brief periods of gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall across portions of the Lesser Antilles through today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart