000 ABNT20 KNHC 140541 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Gonzalo, located just northeast of the British Virgin Islands. A broad area of low pressure located about 1200 miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Strong upper-level winds affecting this system are forecast to strengthen further during the next few days, and development of this low into a tropical cyclone is unlikely as it moves slowly toward the northwest. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Landsea