000 ABNT20 KNHC 092340 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT THU OCT 9 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Shower and thunderstorm activity, associated with a broad surface low pressure area and an upper-level low, continues to gradually organize several hundred miles north-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for additional development, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form during the next day or two while the system moves northwestward or north-northwestward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi