000
ABNT20 KNHC 121736
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI SEP 12 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Edouard, located a little more of a thousand miles east of
the northern Leeward Islands.

Shower activity associated with the broad area of low pressure
centered over southern Florida just west of Lake Okeechobee
remains poorly organized. By tonight or early Saturday, the low is
expected to be over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico where
upper-level winds are forecast to become even less favorable
for tropical cyclone formation.  Nevertheless, this weather system
will continue to be closely monitored, and an Air Force Plane will
check the low on Saturday, if necessary. Locally heavy rains
associated with the low will continue over portions of southern
Florida and the Florida Keys today and Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located south of
the Cape Verde Islands continues to show signs of organization. This
system, however, is forecast to move westward or west-northwestward
at around 10 mph toward an area unfavorable for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Edouard are issued under WMO
header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Edouard are issued under WMO header WTNT21
KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

$$
Forecaster Avila