000 ABNT20 KNHC 311133 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in association with a tropical wave over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Land interaction will limit significant development while the disturbance moves across the Yucatan peninsula today and tonight. However, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development once the system moves into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Monday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch